Kettleworks Atlas · Field Dossier No. 12

The Rain
Ledgerof Marrow Bay

In nine years a mid-sized harbour city stopped importing 41% of its drinking water. It did not build a dam. It rewrote its roofs, its kerbs and its billing code — and then it counted every litre.

Research Ida Fenwick

Charts Kettleworks Studio

Period 2017 – 2026

Read 11 min scroll

Scroll — the story runs downward

01

A city that leaked upward

Marrow Bay receives 1,180 millimetres of rain a year — more than three quarters of what it drinks. Until 2017 essentially all of it ran off tarmac, through nine storm culverts and back into the estuary within four hours of falling. The utility then bought the same water back from an upriver reservoir 62 kilometres inland, lifted it 210 metres, and lost a fifth of it to leaks on the way home.

The Ledger began as an accounting exercise, not an environmental one. Someone in the treasury asked what the city was paying per litre to move water past its own rooftops.

0 mm annual rainfall

Thirty-year mean at the Harbour Point gauge. Distribution is uneven: 61% of it arrives between October and February.

0 hours to the sea

Median residence time of a raindrop within the pre-2017 drainage network, from impact to outfall.

02

Every litre, sorted by fate

The first year of the Ledger produced a single unglamorous chart. It is still the most quoted page in the dossier, because it shows that the largest category of urban water is not consumption — it is loss.

Fate of one year of rainfall, 2017 baseline% of volume

  • Storm runoff to estuary58.4%
  • Evaporation from hard surfaces19.1%
  • Infiltration to shallow aquifer12.7%
  • Captured & used on site6.3%
  • Green-space uptake3.5%
0% left within a day

Reducing this single figure by half became the entire programme. Everything downstream in this dossier is a means to that end.

03

Three levers, pulled at once

Rather than pilot sequentially, the city ran all three interventions from the same budget year, accepting messier attribution in exchange for speed. Adoption is measured as share of eligible parcels enrolled by the end of 2025.

Programme adoption by lever2025

0%

Roof Tithe

Cisterns required on re-roofing permits above 90 m².

0%

Kerb Cuts

Street edges opened into planted infiltration bays.

0%

Split Tariff

Runoff billed separately from potable supply.

The tariff did more than the concrete. Once a downpipe had a price attached, people found the pipe.
— Ruth Alderney, Marrow Bay Water Authority
04

One hundred blocks, coloured by retention

Each square below is one of the city's 100 census blocks. Teal blocks now retain more than half their rainfall on site; amber blocks are between a quarter and a half; grey blocks have not moved measurably since baseline.

Rain retained on site, by blockn = 100

Over 50% retained — 38 25–50% retained — 29 Unchanged — 33

The grey band is not random. Thirty of the thirty-three unchanged blocks sit on the reclaimed flats, where the water table is within a metre of the surface and infiltration is physically unavailable. The Ledger's honest conclusion is that a third of Marrow Bay cannot be fixed with soil.

05

What it cost, what it returned

Capital spend is public record; the avoided-cost column is the authority's own model, which assumes no growth in imported-water tariffs. It is therefore conservative by construction.

Programme cost and avoided cost by year
YearLeverCapitalAvoided/yrPayback
2018Split Tariff€1.4M€2.9M0.5 yr
2019Roof Tithe€22.6M€4.1M5.5 yr
2021Kerb Cuts€38.2M€3.3M11.6 yr
2023Culvert Retrofit€9.8M€1.7M5.8 yr
2025Aquifer Recharge€6.1M€2.2M2.8 yr
0.2M avoided annually, 2026

Against €78.1M of cumulative capital. Blended payback across the whole programme lands at 5.5 years — shorter than the reservoir expansion it replaced.

06

The import curve, nine years down

Imported water as a share of total municipal supply. The 2020 flat spot is a construction pause; the 2024 uptick is a drought year in which cisterns emptied faster than they refilled.

Imported share of supply2017 → 2026

  • 2017 baseline81%
  • 202074%
  • 202261%
  • 2024 (drought)52%
  • 202640%
0pt drop in imported share

From 81% to 40% in nine years, with population up 6% over the same period. Per-capita imported volume fell 46%.

What the ledger cannot tell you

Retention is not resilience. A cistern network that performs beautifully across an average year is exactly the system that fails in a fourth consecutive dry winter, and Marrow Bay has not yet had one. The next dossier follows the drought reserve.