A city that leaked upward
Marrow Bay receives 1,180 millimetres of rain a year — more than three quarters of what it drinks. Until 2017 essentially all of it ran off tarmac, through nine storm culverts and back into the estuary within four hours of falling. The utility then bought the same water back from an upriver reservoir 62 kilometres inland, lifted it 210 metres, and lost a fifth of it to leaks on the way home.
The Ledger began as an accounting exercise, not an environmental one. Someone in the treasury asked what the city was paying per litre to move water past its own rooftops.
Thirty-year mean at the Harbour Point gauge. Distribution is uneven: 61% of it arrives between October and February.
Median residence time of a raindrop within the pre-2017 drainage network, from impact to outfall.
Every litre, sorted by fate
The first year of the Ledger produced a single unglamorous chart. It is still the most quoted page in the dossier, because it shows that the largest category of urban water is not consumption — it is loss.
Fate of one year of rainfall, 2017 baseline% of volume
Reducing this single figure by half became the entire programme. Everything downstream in this dossier is a means to that end.
Three levers, pulled at once
Rather than pilot sequentially, the city ran all three interventions from the same budget year, accepting messier attribution in exchange for speed. Adoption is measured as share of eligible parcels enrolled by the end of 2025.
Programme adoption by lever2025
Roof Tithe
Cisterns required on re-roofing permits above 90 m².
Kerb Cuts
Street edges opened into planted infiltration bays.
Split Tariff
Runoff billed separately from potable supply.
The tariff did more than the concrete. Once a downpipe had a price attached, people found the pipe.
One hundred blocks, coloured by retention
Each square below is one of the city's 100 census blocks. Teal blocks now retain more than half their rainfall on site; amber blocks are between a quarter and a half; grey blocks have not moved measurably since baseline.
Rain retained on site, by blockn = 100
The grey band is not random. Thirty of the thirty-three unchanged blocks sit on the reclaimed flats, where the water table is within a metre of the surface and infiltration is physically unavailable. The Ledger's honest conclusion is that a third of Marrow Bay cannot be fixed with soil.
What it cost, what it returned
Capital spend is public record; the avoided-cost column is the authority's own model, which assumes no growth in imported-water tariffs. It is therefore conservative by construction.
| Year | Lever | Capital | Avoided/yr | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Split Tariff | €1.4M | €2.9M | 0.5 yr |
| 2019 | Roof Tithe | €22.6M | €4.1M | 5.5 yr |
| 2021 | Kerb Cuts | €38.2M | €3.3M | 11.6 yr |
| 2023 | Culvert Retrofit | €9.8M | €1.7M | 5.8 yr |
| 2025 | Aquifer Recharge | €6.1M | €2.2M | 2.8 yr |
Against €78.1M of cumulative capital. Blended payback across the whole programme lands at 5.5 years — shorter than the reservoir expansion it replaced.
The import curve, nine years down
Imported water as a share of total municipal supply. The 2020 flat spot is a construction pause; the 2024 uptick is a drought year in which cisterns emptied faster than they refilled.
Imported share of supply2017 → 2026
From 81% to 40% in nine years, with population up 6% over the same period. Per-capita imported volume fell 46%.
What the ledger cannot tell you
Retention is not resilience. A cistern network that performs beautifully across an average year is exactly the system that fails in a fourth consecutive dry winter, and Marrow Bay has not yet had one. The next dossier follows the drought reserve.
- M1Rainfall from the Harbour Point and Kettle Hill gauges, 1994–2026, corrected for the 2009 instrument change.
- M2Retention modelled per parcel from permit records and metered cistern draw; validated against 240 physically audited sites.
- M3Avoided cost uses 2018 tariffs held constant. No discount rate applied. Leakage savings excluded as unattributable.
- M4Block-level figures suppressed where fewer than five metered parcels exist; those blocks are counted as unchanged.